Redrawing rivers to reduce water insecurity?

I've seen some stunning headlines recently.. "Water map shows billions at risk of 'water insecurity'", "China moving heaven and Earth to bring water to Beijing", "Huge parts of world drying up due to land evapotranspiration" Most scientists agree that the climate change is already underway -- irrespective of who's to blame and how much we …

Continue reading Redrawing rivers to reduce water insecurity?

India’s peculiar contradictions

"China & India must play a leading role in reducing GHG emissions and develop 'clean' energy economies." This is repeated often by other nations, environmentalists, and anyone who feels like dispensing advice. I take some issue with China & India being put in the same bucket when talking about GHG reductions and the level of …

Continue reading India’s peculiar contradictions

Black Swan Events and the Plight of Probability

Many scientists believe that climate change will increase the likelihood of extreme weather events, but will we improve our ability to understand and react to these risks? Nassim Taleb popularized the term “Black Swan” to refer to outlier events that could not have been predicted by drawing from past experience—alluding to the surprise of 17th …

Continue reading Black Swan Events and the Plight of Probability

Global Hazards in July

What is outside the envelope of natural variation? How are we framing risk? Global hazards in July, according to a NOAA report: Severe drought plagued Bolivia, killing crops and livestock. Three massive wildfires raged across Southern California. Record high temperatures and sparse rainfall in Russia, killing 40% of the grain harvest, creating huge wildfires, oppressive …

Continue reading Global Hazards in July